São Paulo vs Ponte Preta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
15%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2012 |
NAU
3 - 0
SAO
17%
23%
60%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
SAO
1 - 2
GRE
48%
26%
27%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
FLU
2 - 1
SAO
50%
24%
27%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
SAO
1 - 0
SPO
69%
20%
11%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2012 |
BAH
0 - 2
SAO
30%
26%
44%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2012 |
PPE
0 - 2
BAH
54%
25%
21%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
SCI
2 - 1
PPE
64%
22%
14%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
PPE
0 - 0
GRE
31%
26%
44%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
CRZ
1 - 2
PPE
67%
20%
13%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 1
PPE
69%
19%
12%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | -1 |