São Paulo vs CS Emelec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
20.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2014 |
SAO
3 - 0
GOI
57%
24%
20%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2014 |
CHA
0 - 0
SAO
28%
26%
47%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
SAO
2 - 1
BAH
63%
23%
15%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2014 |
HUA
2 - 3
SAO
35%
26%
38%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ATM
1 - 0
SAO
53%
23%
24%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
QUI
2 - 2
EME
29%
28%
43%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2014 |
UCE
2 - 5
EME
44%
26%
30%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2014 |
EME
3 - 0
QUI
63%
22%
15%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2014 |
GOI
1 - 0
EME
48%
27%
26%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
MAN
1 - 3
EME
26%
28%
47%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |