São Paulo vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
11.4%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2014 |
BAH
0 - 2
SAO
27%
27%
46%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
SAO
2 - 1
ATM
42%
26%
31%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2014 |
ATP
2 - 2
SAO
41%
26%
34%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 0
GRE
45%
26%
29%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2014 |
FLU
5 - 2
SAO
50%
25%
26%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
CHA
2 - 1
BAH
43%
28%
29%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2014 |
SCI
2 - 0
CHA
71%
19%
10%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
CHA
2 - 0
PAL
25%
26%
49%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2014 |
CRI
1 - 0
CHA
47%
27%
25%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
ATP
1 - 1
CHA
64%
22%
14%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |