São Paulo vs RB Bragantino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
12%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
LIN
2 - 1
SAO
11%
17%
72%
|
84 | 57 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2012 |
BAH
2 - 5
SAO
8%
16%
77%
|
84 | 53 | 31 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
SAO
2 - 0
MOG
73%
17%
10%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
ITU
2 - 4
SAO
13%
21%
67%
|
84 | 56 | 28 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
SAO
2 - 0
CAT
89%
9%
3%
|
84 | 56 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
RB Bragantino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
PAU
2 - 0
BRA
25%
23%
52%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
BRA
1 - 4
OES
75%
16%
9%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
BRA
2 - 0
SAO
57%
22%
21%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
MIR
2 - 3
BRA
27%
24%
49%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 0
BRA
72%
17%
11%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | -1 |