São Paulo vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
18.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
GRE
0 - 1
SAO
42%
27%
31%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 0
HUA
55%
23%
22%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 3
FLU
51%
25%
24%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2014 |
SAO
2 - 2
FLA
53%
25%
22%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
COR
3 - 2
SAO
44%
27%
29%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
COT
1 - 0
ATP
43%
27%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
ATP
1 - 0
COR
40%
29%
32%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2014 |
CHA
3 - 0
ATP
35%
27%
38%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
ATP
0 - 1
SCI
42%
27%
30%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2014 |
CRZ
2 - 0
ATP
75%
16%
10%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | -1 |