São Paulo vs Atl. Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
27.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 0
PEN
76%
17%
8%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
MOG
1 - 0
SAO
21%
25%
55%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2013 |
SAO
2 - 0
ATM
40%
25%
35%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
SAO
0 - 1
XVD
78%
16%
7%
|
86 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 2
SAO
9%
19%
72%
|
86 | 55 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
TOM
0 - 2
ATM
8%
17%
75%
|
85 | 54 | 31 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
ATM
2 - 1
VIL
91%
7%
2%
|
85 | 54 | 31 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2013 |
SAO
2 - 0
ATM
40%
25%
35%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
CAL
2 - 1
ATM
8%
19%
73%
|
86 | 53 | 33 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
ATM
4 - 0
BOA
88%
9%
3%
|
86 | 58 | 28 | 0 |