São Paulo vs Água Santa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.9%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.9%
6.2%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
BOT
1 - 3
SAO
11%
22%
68%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
SAO
0 - 1
SAO
80%
14%
6%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2023 |
SAO
0 - 3
SAO
8%
20%
72%
|
87 | 53 | 34 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
SAO
5 - 1
INT
86%
11%
3%
|
87 | 55 | 32 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
SAO
3 - 1
SAN
63%
21%
16%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Água Santa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
SAO
0 - 1
AGU
47%
27%
27%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
AGU
1 - 0
BOT
41%
26%
33%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
INT
0 - 1
AGU
26%
26%
48%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
AGU
1 - 0
BRA
16%
22%
62%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
AGU
0 - 1
PAL
8%
20%
72%
|
61 | 90 | 29 | 0 |