São Paulo vs Portuguesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
16%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2012 |
ATM
1 - 0
SAO
47%
24%
29%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 0
SAO
49%
23%
27%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2012 |
SAO
1 - 1
SCI
48%
26%
26%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
BAH
1 - 0
SAO
25%
24%
51%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
SAO
4 - 0
BOT
51%
25%
25%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2012 |
POR
0 - 2
FLU
25%
27%
48%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 1
POR
49%
25%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2012 |
POR
3 - 0
COT
31%
27%
42%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
VAS
2 - 0
POR
63%
22%
15%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
POR
3 - 0
PAL
30%
28%
42%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |