São Paulo AP vs Mazagão analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
43.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
YAP
3 - 1
SPM
66%
20%
14%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2009 |
CRI
0 - 2
SPM
69%
18%
13%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2009 |
SAN
0 - 1
SPM
57%
21%
22%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2009 |
ECM
2 - 3
SPM
67%
19%
15%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
MAC
0 - 0
SPM
65%
20%
15%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Mazagão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
MAC
3 - 2
SAO
34%
25%
42%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
MAC
2 - 1
IAP
55%
23%
23%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2009 |
MAC
1 - 1
ORC
63%
20%
16%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
MAC
0 - 0
SPM
65%
20%
15%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2009 |
MAC
1 - 0
TDC
26%
23%
51%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | +4 |