São Paulo AP vs Macapá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
50%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
SAN
4 - 1
SPM
76%
14%
10%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 0
SPM
74%
15%
11%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
SPM
1 - 2
YAP
26%
22%
53%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
SPM
2 - 1
TDC
38%
22%
40%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2017 |
SPM
0 - 2
ECM
38%
23%
39%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Macapá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
ECM
2 - 2
YAP
40%
23%
38%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2017 |
SAN
7 - 2
ECM
68%
18%
14%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2017 |
ECM
0 - 3
SAN
28%
23%
49%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | -2 |
| 22 Aug. 2017 |
IAP
1 - 1
ECM
48%
22%
30%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2017 |
ECM
2 - 1
IAP
39%
23%
38%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +2 |