Sao Paulo Crystal vs Nacional de Patos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
59.9%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sao Paulo Crystal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
SPC
0 - 2
CAM
17%
21%
63%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2024 |
BOT
5 - 1
SPC
80%
13%
7%
|
35 | 64 | 29 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
AFC
4 - 0
SPC
78%
15%
8%
|
35 | 63 | 28 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2024 |
FEL
3 - 1
SPC
38%
24%
39%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
GLO
0 - 3
SPC
38%
23%
39%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional de Patos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
NAC
2 - 1
TRE
65%
21%
15%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
NAC
1 - 0
SOU
32%
26%
43%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
NAC
1 - 1
ACD
66%
19%
15%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
FER
3 - 1
NAC
71%
19%
10%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
NAC
0 - 0
FER
22%
26%
53%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | +1 |