São Mateus vs Serra FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
42.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Mateus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2006 |
COL
4 - 1
SAO
67%
19%
15%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
SAO
0 - 1
LIN
40%
24%
36%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2005 |
EST
0 - 0
SAO
46%
23%
31%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2005 |
SAO
1 - 1
EST
51%
22%
27%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2005 |
VFC
1 - 3
SAO
38%
23%
38%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Serra FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2006 |
SER
1 - 0
JAG
63%
19%
18%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2005 |
SER
5 - 0
AME
38%
26%
36%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | +2 |
| 29 Aug. 2005 |
EST
1 - 1
SER
33%
24%
44%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2005 |
IFC
4 - 0
SER
63%
21%
16%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -2 |
| 17 Aug. 2005 |
SER
2 - 1
EST
64%
20%
16%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |