São Mateus vs Itapemirim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
46.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Mateus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
LIN
0 - 1
SAO
42%
25%
33%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
SAO
1 - 0
RIO
20%
23%
57%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | +2 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
VIT
2 - 0
SAO
57%
24%
19%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
ESP
4 - 1
SAO
57%
24%
19%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
SAO
0 - 2
VIT
45%
26%
29%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Itapemirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
RVV
0 - 0
ITA
55%
22%
23%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
ITA
3 - 1
LIN
50%
23%
27%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
RIO
3 - 2
ITA
51%
23%
27%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
VIT
2 - 1
ITA
40%
25%
35%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
ITA
2 - 2
VIT
39%
25%
36%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |