AR São Martinho vs Tirsense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
27.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
8º
14º
11º
44
1º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 51 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
3º
|
89% | |
|
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 36 |
6º
|
82% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 34 |
8º
|
68% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
68% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
76% | |
|
|
13º
|
24 | 27 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 27 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
49% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
51.5% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
48.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AR São Martinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
VPE
1 - 1
SMA
23%
22%
55%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
SMA
0 - 0
MER
59%
21%
20%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
PED
1 - 1
SMA
28%
26%
46%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
SMA
0 - 0
AMA
42%
27%
32%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
SMA
0 - 0
BRA
80%
14%
7%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Tirsense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
TIR
1 - 1
VIL
62%
21%
18%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
VIA
0 - 1
TIR
40%
26%
34%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
MON
1 - 4
TIR
19%
22%
59%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
TIR
0 - 2
VPE
77%
15%
8%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
TIR
2 - 1
MER
53%
23%
23%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |