São Luiz vs Marcílio Dias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
27.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Luiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 1
SLU
39%
28%
33%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
SLU
3 - 2
ECP
66%
21%
13%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
AIM
2 - 1
SLU
40%
28%
32%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
SLU
1 - 1
CAX
38%
31%
31%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
CAS
2 - 1
SLU
53%
26%
22%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 1
SLU
39%
28%
33%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
CAX
3 - 1
MAR
52%
26%
22%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 1
JUV
57%
25%
18%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
ECP
0 - 1
MAR
25%
26%
49%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
AFC
1 - 0
MAR
36%
29%
36%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |