São José vs Primavera SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
27.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
RIO
0 - 0
SAO
32%
26%
42%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
SAO
3 - 0
TAU
61%
22%
17%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
GRE
2 - 0
SAO
24%
24%
52%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
COS
0 - 0
SAO
36%
28%
36%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
SAO
1 - 1
POA
53%
26%
21%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Primavera SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
PRI
2 - 1
LIN
48%
26%
27%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
SAN
0 - 0
PRI
42%
29%
30%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
PRI
1 - 0
SAO
39%
28%
33%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
PRI
1 - 1
COM
61%
23%
16%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
COM
1 - 1
PRI
23%
26%
50%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | -1 |