São José vs Catanduvense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
20.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
SAO
2 - 0
AME
52%
24%
24%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2009 |
SAO
2 - 4
SAO
50%
24%
26%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
SAO
4 - 3
UNI
48%
25%
27%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
POR
1 - 1
SAO
40%
25%
35%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
SAO
1 - 1
CAT
50%
24%
26%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Catanduvense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
FER
2 - 2
CAT
65%
20%
15%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2009 |
CAT
2 - 0
FLA
62%
20%
18%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
CAT
0 - 3
CAT
56%
22%
22%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
AME
3 - 0
CAT
51%
23%
26%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
SAO
1 - 1
CAT
50%
24%
26%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |