São João Ver vs Amarante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.4%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
52.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
11%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
3º
10º
7º
30
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 35 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 33 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 31 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
30 | 30 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 26 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 8 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São João Ver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
BRA
2 - 0
SAO
55%
23%
22%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
SAO
1 - 0
LUS
28%
27%
45%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +2 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
SAO
2 - 1
UNI
60%
21%
19%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
SCP
3 - 2
SAO
53%
23%
24%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2024 |
RIO
1 - 2
SAO
28%
25%
47%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
AMA
1 - 0
TRO
61%
22%
17%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 1
AMA
20%
25%
55%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
AMA
3 - 1
OSA
66%
20%
15%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
PAÇ
4 - 3
AMA
74%
17%
9%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
AMA
2 - 4
FEL
49%
24%
27%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |