São Gonçalo RJ vs Santa Cruz RJ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.6%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.6%
5.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Gonçalo RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2018 |
MES
1 - 1
SAO
18%
18%
64%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
AFC
4 - 3
SAO
24%
22%
54%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2018 |
SAO
1 - 2
AME
38%
25%
37%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 2
SAO
19%
19%
63%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
SFC
0 - 1
SAO
18%
19%
64%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Cruz RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2018 |
SCR
0 - 2
AME
9%
15%
76%
|
12 | 47 | 35 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
SCR
1 - 3
OLA
7%
12%
81%
|
13 | 39 | 26 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2018 |
FRI
6 - 2
SCR
84%
11%
5%
|
13 | 44 | 31 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
SCR
0 - 2
BON
10%
15%
75%
|
14 | 45 | 31 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
SCR
2 - 3
SER
11%
17%
72%
|
14 | 39 | 25 | 0 |