São Francisco PA vs Botafogo PB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.3%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
73.2%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.8%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Francisco PA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2017 |
FRA
1 - 2
PAR
31%
25%
45%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
FRA
1 - 2
PIN
76%
15%
9%
|
35 | 9 | 26 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
FRA
1 - 2
PAL
72%
16%
12%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
PRI
2 - 0
FRA
43%
24%
32%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -2 |
| 04 Jul. 2016 |
BAR
2 - 2
FRA
21%
20%
59%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
BOT
4 - 2
VIT
17%
23%
60%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2017 |
BOT
1 - 2
CAM
66%
21%
14%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
SPB
1 - 2
BOT
15%
19%
66%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2017 |
ARN
3 - 1
BOT
36%
26%
38%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
BOT
2 - 1
AUT
74%
17%
9%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | 0 |