Carioca B2 Knock-outs Semi-finals
Global 3-3
São Cristóvão RJ vs Bonsucesso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
43.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Cristóvão RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2023 |
BON
1 - 1
SCR
43%
24%
33%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
SCR
3 - 0
RIO
50%
22%
28%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2023 |
BEL
0 - 0
SCR
47%
22%
31%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
SCR
3 - 0
ADB
65%
18%
17%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
MAG
0 - 3
SCR
24%
20%
55%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Bonsucesso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2023 |
BON
1 - 1
SCR
43%
24%
33%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
RDJ
2 - 1
BON
30%
23%
48%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2023 |
BON
0 - 0
ZFC
54%
23%
23%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
ANG
0 - 3
BON
11%
20%
69%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
CGA
0 - 2
BON
29%
23%
48%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |