Paulista A3 Round 12

São Carlos vs Rio Preto analysis

São Carlos Rio Preto
48 ELO 54
-12.8% Tilt -5.6%
10253º General ELO ranking 6599º
427º Country ELO ranking 262º
ELO win probability
23.7%
São Carlos
24.5%
Draw
51.9%
Rio Preto

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.7%
Win probability
São Carlos
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
51.9%
Win probability
Rio Preto
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
São Carlos
-17%
+26%
Rio Preto

ELO progression

São Carlos
Rio Preto
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

São Carlos
São Carlos
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Mar. 2014
VOT
Votuporanguense
4 - 1
São Carlos
SAO
51%
24%
25%
48 50 2 0
08 Mar. 2014
SER
Sertãozinho
3 - 2
São Carlos
SAO
46%
26%
28%
49 48 1 -1
01 Mar. 2014
SAO
São Carlos
2 - 2
América SP
AME
46%
26%
29%
49 46 3 0
27 Feb. 2014
INT
Inter de Limeira
2 - 1
São Carlos
SAO
50%
26%
24%
49 53 4 0
22 Feb. 2014
SAO
São Carlos
2 - 1
Independente SP
IND
29%
26%
46%
48 55 7 +1

Matches

Rio Preto
Rio Preto
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Mar. 2014
RIO
Rio Preto
1 - 0
Independente SP
IND
47%
25%
28%
55 54 1 0
09 Mar. 2014
RIO
Rio Preto
2 - 1
Cotia
COT
70%
19%
11%
54 42 12 +1
01 Mar. 2014
NOR
Noroeste
2 - 4
Rio Preto
RIO
28%
25%
47%
54 47 7 0
27 Feb. 2014
RIO
Rio Preto
4 - 2
Taubaté
TAU
45%
26%
29%
53 53 0 +1
23 Feb. 2014
SAN
Santacruzense
2 - 3
Rio Preto
RIO
34%
25%
41%
52 50 2 +1