São Caetano vs Ponte Preta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
18.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2004 |
PAR
0 - 1
SAO
43%
27%
30%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2004 |
SAO
0 - 0
SAO
34%
26%
40%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2004 |
FLU
1 - 0
SAO
41%
28%
32%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2004 |
PAY
0 - 0
SAO
39%
27%
34%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2004 |
SAO
1 - 2
BOT
65%
21%
14%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2004 |
PPE
3 - 2
VAS
40%
25%
35%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2004 |
PAY
3 - 0
PPE
51%
24%
25%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2004 |
PPE
3 - 1
GUA
58%
23%
20%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2004 |
PPE
0 - 4
SAN
31%
25%
45%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2004 |
SAO
2 - 0
PPE
67%
20%
14%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |