São Caetano vs Guaratinguetá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
41.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
TUP
4 - 0
SAO
56%
25%
19%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2014 |
JUV
1 - 0
SAO
46%
27%
27%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 0
MAD
37%
29%
34%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
MOG
1 - 0
SAO
70%
19%
11%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
SAO
2 - 0
CAX
32%
29%
39%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 1
JUV
57%
25%
18%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
MAC
1 - 1
GUA
41%
26%
33%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
GUA
0 - 0
GUA
57%
25%
18%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
DUQ
0 - 3
GUA
27%
25%
48%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 1
TUP
54%
25%
21%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |