São Caetano vs Grêmio Osasco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
10%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.9%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
9.8%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
AAP
0 - 1
SAO
9%
18%
73%
|
57 | 16 | 41 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
BER
1 - 2
SAO
17%
24%
59%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
SAO
2 - 0
SAN
47%
27%
27%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
AGU
1 - 2
SAO
40%
27%
33%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2019 |
SAO
0 - 1
CUI
30%
26%
44%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio Osasco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
GRE
1 - 0
SAN
20%
25%
56%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
GRE
0 - 2
AAP
78%
14%
8%
|
41 | 15 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
AGU
1 - 0
GRE
65%
21%
14%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
GRE
1 - 0
BER
44%
26%
30%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2019 |
GRE
0 - 5
SAO
20%
25%
55%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | 0 |