São Caetano vs Água Santa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
19.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2017 |
RIO
1 - 0
SAO
30%
27%
43%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2017 |
SAO
3 - 1
VEL
67%
21%
12%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2017 |
SAO
3 - 1
BRA
54%
25%
22%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2017 |
GUA
0 - 0
SAO
25%
26%
49%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
SAO
2 - 1
VOT
64%
23%
14%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Água Santa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
BRA
1 - 2
AGU
42%
26%
32%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
UNI
0 - 2
AGU
39%
26%
36%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2017 |
AGU
0 - 0
POR
61%
22%
17%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
AGU
1 - 1
XVD
33%
27%
41%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2017 |
AGU
1 - 0
JUV
59%
23%
19%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |