Liga MX Clausura round 17

Santos Laguna vs Tijuana analysis

Santos Laguna Tijuana
75 ELO 81
12.5% Tilt 10.9%
1076º General ELO ranking 646º
24º Country ELO ranking 17º
ELO win probability
35.5%
Santos Laguna
26.2%
Draw
38.2%
Tijuana

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.5%
Win probability
Santos Laguna
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
38.2%
Win probability
Tijuana
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Santos Laguna
-21%
-5%
Tijuana

Points and table prediction

Santos Laguna
Their league position
Tijuana
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
15º
18º
18º
19
11º
18º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Toluca
37
37
100%
América
34
34
100%
Cruz Azul
33
33
0%
Tigres UANL
33
33
0%
Necaxa
31
31
100%
León
30
30
100%
Monterrey
28
28
0%
Pachuca
28
28
0%
FC Juárez
24
25
100%
Pumas UNAM
10º
21
21
10º
52.5%
Chivas Guadalajara
11º
21
21
11º
52.5%
Tijuana
12º
19
19
12º
70%
Atlas Fútbol Club
13º
18
18
13º
0%
Querétaro
15º
17
18
14º
0%
Atl. San Luis
14º
18
18
15º
52.5%
Mazatlán
16º
17
17
16º
100%
Puebla
17º
9
9
17º
100%
Santos Laguna
18º
7
7
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Santos Laguna
Tijuana
Final Series
0% 0%
Play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Santos Laguna
Tijuana
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Santos Laguna
Santos Laguna
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Apr. 2025
PUM
Pumas UNAM
2 - 0
Santos Laguna
SAN
56%
24%
21%
76 83 7 0
14 Apr. 2025
SAN
Santos Laguna
1 - 2
Querétaro
QRO
46%
26%
29%
76 77 1 0
07 Apr. 2025
TOL
Toluca
2 - 1
Santos Laguna
SAN
68%
18%
14%
76 83 7 0
31 Mar. 2025
SAN
Santos Laguna
2 - 3
Atl. San Luis
AUR
33%
26%
41%
76 81 5 0
16 Mar. 2025
TIG
Tigres UANL
3 - 0
Santos Laguna
SAN
56%
23%
21%
76 83 7 0

Matches

Tijuana
Tijuana
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Apr. 2025
MAZ
Mazatlán
0 - 2
Tijuana
TIJ
46%
26%
29%
80 80 0 0
11 Apr. 2025
TIJ
Tijuana
2 - 1
Atl. San Luis
AUR
44%
25%
32%
79 82 3 +1
05 Apr. 2025
TIJ
Tijuana
1 - 2
Necaxa
NEC
44%
24%
32%
79 82 3 0
30 Mar. 2025
MON
Monterrey
1 - 2
Tijuana
TIJ
57%
23%
20%
79 83 4 0
17 Mar. 2025
PAC
Pachuca
4 - 1
Tijuana
TIJ
59%
22%
19%
79 83 4 0