CONCACAF Champions Cup Quarter-finals
Global 3-1
Santos Laguna vs Houston Dynamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
13.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos Laguna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 1
ATL
69%
19%
13%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2013 |
HOD
1 - 0
SAN
32%
26%
43%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
JAG
1 - 3
SAN
31%
25%
45%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 0
AME
53%
23%
24%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
TIG
1 - 1
SAN
44%
25%
31%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Houston Dynamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2013 |
HOD
1 - 0
SAN
32%
26%
43%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
HOD
2 - 0
DCU
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
GAL
3 - 1
HOD
57%
24%
20%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
DCU
1 - 1
HOD
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
HOD
3 - 1
DCU
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |