Santos FC vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
29.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2004 |
PPE
0 - 4
SAN
31%
25%
45%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2004 |
COR
2 - 3
SAN
30%
25%
45%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2004 |
SAN
2 - 1
GUA
73%
17%
11%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2004 |
SAN
3 - 0
SCI
63%
20%
16%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2004 |
VIT
1 - 2
SAN
37%
24%
39%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2004 |
SAO
1 - 0
ATM
57%
22%
21%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2004 |
SAO
2 - 0
PPE
67%
20%
14%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2004 |
PAL
2 - 1
SAO
35%
24%
42%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2004 |
PAY
1 - 0
SAO
26%
23%
51%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2004 |
ONC
2 - 1
SAO
27%
25%
48%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |