Santos FC vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
26%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2003 |
SAN
1 - 0
CAZ
68%
19%
14%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2003 |
SAN
2 - 1
SCI
65%
20%
15%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2003 |
CAZ
2 - 2
SAN
39%
26%
35%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
JUV
1 - 1
SAN
31%
26%
43%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
SAN
0 - 2
CRZ
52%
22%
26%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2003 |
GRE
1 - 2
SAO
40%
25%
35%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2003 |
SAO
2 - 0
PAR
68%
18%
14%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2003 |
SAO
1 - 1
GOI
69%
18%
13%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
ATM
2 - 2
SAO
45%
23%
32%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2003 |
GOI
0 - 0
SAO
41%
24%
36%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |