Série A Segunda Fase Grupo 4. Jor. 1

Santos FC vs Santa Cruz analysis

Santos FC Santa Cruz
86 ELO 72
-8.1% Tilt -21.1%
126º General ELO ranking 3406º
16º Country ELO ranking 108º
ELO win probability
76.4%
Santos FC
14.2%
Draw
9.4%
Santa Cruz

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.4%
Win probability
Santos FC
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
9.4%
Win probability
Santa Cruz
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Santos FC
+4%
+15%
Santa Cruz

ELO progression

Santos FC
Santa Cruz
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Santos FC
Santos FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Dec. 1972
CEA
Ceará
2 - 1
Santos FC
SAN
31%
26%
43%
86 72 14 0
29 Nov. 1972
ABC
ABC
0 - 2
Santos FC
SAN
21%
24%
56%
86 62 24 0
25 Nov. 1972
SAN
Santos FC
4 - 0
Corinthians
COR
62%
19%
18%
85 83 2 +1
23 Nov. 1972
SAN
Santos FC
0 - 0
Flamengo
FLA
72%
16%
12%
85 80 5 0
19 Nov. 1972
SAN
Santa Cruz
2 - 4
Santos FC
SAN
33%
25%
42%
85 72 13 0

Matches

Santa Cruz
Santa Cruz
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Dec. 1972
SAN
Santa Cruz
2 - 0
Atl. Mineiro
ATM
38%
24%
38%
71 82 11 0
29 Nov. 1972
SAN
Santa Cruz
1 - 2
Coritiba
COT
39%
23%
38%
72 81 9 -1
25 Nov. 1972
SAN
Santa Cruz
1 - 1
Ceará
CEA
55%
24%
21%
72 73 1 0
22 Nov. 1972
CRZ
Cruzeiro
1 - 0
Santa Cruz
SAN
75%
16%
10%
72 84 12 0
19 Nov. 1972
SAN
Santa Cruz
2 - 4
Santos FC
SAN
33%
25%
42%
72 85 13 0
X