Santos FC vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.9%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
8.9%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 1
CRI
69%
20%
11%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2013 |
GRE
1 - 1
SAN
44%
26%
30%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 2
BOT
44%
26%
31%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2013 |
FLA
2 - 1
SAN
31%
26%
43%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2013 |
SCI
1 - 2
SAN
46%
25%
29%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
NAU
0 - 0
FLA
27%
27%
46%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2013 |
POR
3 - 0
NAU
64%
22%
14%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
VIT
2 - 1
NAU
69%
19%
12%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2013 |
NAU
0 - 2
GRE
21%
26%
53%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
COR
0 - 0
NAU
70%
21%
9%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | +1 |