Santos FC vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
14.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2020 |
DEL
1 - 2
SAN
34%
28%
39%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
BOT
0 - 0
SAN
28%
28%
44%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2020 |
SAN
0 - 0
OLI
37%
24%
39%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
SAN
2 - 2
SAO
56%
24%
20%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2020 |
SAN
3 - 1
ATM
51%
25%
24%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
FOR
1 - 0
SCI
32%
28%
40%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
GRE
1 - 1
FOR
74%
17%
9%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2020 |
FOR
1 - 0
SPO
56%
25%
19%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
FLA
2 - 1
FOR
83%
12%
5%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2020 |
CEA
1 - 0
FOR
45%
27%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |