Santos FC vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
15.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
SAN
0 - 0
CEA
68%
20%
13%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
FLU
3 - 1
SAN
36%
27%
38%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
SAN
2 - 1
DYJ
56%
24%
21%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
COT
1 - 2
SAN
21%
27%
52%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
SAN
0 - 1
ATL
72%
18%
9%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2020 |
MEL
1 - 0
BAH
31%
27%
42%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2020 |
BAH
3 - 1
ATM
31%
27%
42%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
GOI
1 - 1
BAH
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
FLU
1 - 0
BAH
50%
26%
24%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2020 |
BAH
3 - 0
VAS
46%
27%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |