Santos FC vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
14.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
FLA
2 - 2
SAN
42%
26%
33%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 0
JEC
72%
19%
10%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2015 |
SAN
3 - 1
SPO
59%
23%
18%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
PAL
1 - 0
SAN
38%
27%
36%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
SAN
3 - 0
FFL
63%
22%
15%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
COT
1 - 1
GOI
42%
28%
30%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
COT
1 - 1
COR
29%
30%
42%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2015 |
PPE
2 - 1
COT
45%
26%
30%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
FFL
0 - 0
COT
43%
27%
30%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
SAO
3 - 1
COT
64%
21%
14%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |