Santos FC vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
15%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2003 |
SAN
1 - 1
CIE
84%
11%
5%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
SAO
2 - 2
SAN
37%
28%
36%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2003 |
SAN
1 - 1
GUA
70%
18%
13%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
SAO
1 - 2
SAN
56%
22%
22%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2003 |
SAN
1 - 1
SAO
68%
19%
13%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
ATP
2 - 0
COT
46%
25%
29%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2003 |
PPE
2 - 2
ATP
51%
23%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
ATP
0 - 0
FLU
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
FLA
2 - 1
ATP
45%
25%
31%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2003 |
ATP
2 - 1
SCI
48%
24%
28%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |