Santos AP vs Real Ariquemes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
39.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2019 |
GAL
1 - 1
SAN
66%
19%
15%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 2
GAL
35%
23%
43%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -2 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
RDA
2 - 1
SAN
58%
21%
21%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 2
MAN
32%
26%
42%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -3 |
| 14 Jun. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 1
YAP
56%
22%
22%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Real Ariquemes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2019 |
RDA
1 - 1
MAN
30%
26%
43%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
MAN
4 - 1
RDA
58%
23%
19%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
RDA
2 - 1
SAN
58%
21%
21%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
GAL
2 - 3
RDA
55%
24%
21%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
RDA
0 - 1
PAR
55%
22%
24%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -2 |