Santos AP vs Macapá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
22.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 1
TDC
40%
23%
38%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2012 |
CAC
3 - 1
SAN
58%
22%
20%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
SAN
4 - 1
ARA
44%
25%
32%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +2 |
| 16 Aug. 2012 |
MIX
1 - 1
SAN
78%
14%
8%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
SAM
6 - 0
SAN
80%
14%
6%
|
33 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Macapá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
SAO
0 - 1
ECM
51%
23%
26%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2009 |
ECM
1 - 3
SPM
63%
20%
17%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
ECM
1 - 2
SAO
43%
23%
34%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2009 |
ORC
0 - 1
ECM
34%
24%
42%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
ECM
4 - 1
SPM
66%
19%
16%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |