Santorcaz vs Villalbilla analysis


7	ELO	12
3.5%	Tilt	8%
25508º	General ELO ranking	12652º
7912º	Country ELO ranking	1688º
ELO win probability

25.4%

Santorcaz

22%

Draw

52.6%

Villalbilla

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

25.4%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.8%

22%

Draw

0-0

3.9%

1-1

9.8%

2-2

6.2%

3-3

1.7%

4-4

0.3%

5-5

<0%

0

22%

52.6%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%