Santo André vs Catuense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
18.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santo André
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1984 |
GRE
4 - 4
SAN
78%
14%
8%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1984 |
NAU
2 - 1
SAN
66%
20%
15%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1984 |
SAN
1 - 0
COT
22%
24%
54%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 1984 |
SAN
1 - 0
GRE
19%
23%
59%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 1984 |
CAT
0 - 1
SAN
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Catuense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1984 |
NAU
2 - 0
CAT
69%
19%
13%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1984 |
CAT
1 - 1
NAU
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1984 |
GRE
3 - 0
CAT
79%
14%
8%
|
62 | 84 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1984 |
COT
4 - 1
CAT
76%
15%
9%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 1984 |
CAT
0 - 1
SAN
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |