Santo André vs ASA Arapiraquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
16.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santo André
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2010 |
AMF
4 - 1
SAN
39%
26%
35%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
SAN
2 - 0
PPE
52%
25%
24%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2010 |
ARN
2 - 0
SAN
21%
24%
55%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 2
FFL
43%
26%
31%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2010 |
DUQ
3 - 2
SAN
34%
26%
41%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
ASA
1 - 1
POR
34%
26%
40%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
BAH
5 - 1
ASA
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2010 |
AMF
1 - 3
ASA
58%
24%
19%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +2 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
ASA
3 - 1
SAO
37%
26%
36%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2010 |
BRA
2 - 3
ASA
47%
26%
27%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |