Cup Paulista Fase de Grupos. Jor. 6

Santo André vs Portuguesa analysis

Santo André Portuguesa
53 ELO 62
-27.9% Tilt -10.6%
3138º General ELO ranking 2234º
91º Country ELO ranking 69º
ELO win probability
22%
Santo André
25.9%
Draw
52.1%
Portuguesa

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22%
Win probability
Santo André
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
52.1%
Win probability
Portuguesa
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Santo André
-3%
-3%
Portuguesa

ELO progression

Santo André
Portuguesa
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Santo André
Santo André
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Jul. 2023
SAO
São José
2 - 0
Santo André
SAN
29%
26%
45%
54 49 5 0
23 Jul. 2023
SAN
Santo André
1 - 1
Democrata GV
DEM
35%
30%
35%
54 55 1 0
19 Jul. 2023
SAN
Santo André
1 - 1
São Caetano
SAO
56%
25%
19%
54 45 9 0
16 Jul. 2023
POR
Portuguesa Santista
2 - 1
Santo André
SAN
36%
26%
39%
55 52 3 -1
15 Jul. 2023
VIT
Vitória ES
3 - 1
Santo André
SAN
46%
27%
27%
56 56 0 -1

Matches

Portuguesa
Portuguesa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Jul. 2023
SAO
São Caetano
0 - 1
Portuguesa
POR
15%
22%
63%
61 45 16 0
22 Jul. 2023
POR
Portuguesa
1 - 0
Portuguesa Santista
POR
59%
24%
17%
61 53 8 0
14 Jul. 2023
BER
EC São Bernardo
0 - 3
Portuguesa
POR
23%
25%
53%
60 49 11 +1
09 Jul. 2023
SAO
São José
1 - 1
Portuguesa
POR
18%
23%
59%
60 47 13 0
01 Jul. 2023
POR
Portuguesa
4 - 0
Santo André
SAN
47%
27%
26%
59 56 3 +1
X