EMD Santillana vs UM Escobedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
38.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EMD Santillana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
MER
0 - 1
SAN
34%
26%
40%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2013 |
CAY
0 - 2
SAN
72%
18%
10%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 2
CUL
22%
24%
54%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
LAR
2 - 0
SAN
74%
17%
9%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 2
RAY
18%
22%
60%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
UM Escobedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
ESC
2 - 0
BEZ
53%
24%
23%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
ESC
1 - 1
ALB
66%
20%
15%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
TEX
3 - 0
ESC
25%
24%
52%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
MER
3 - 2
ESC
18%
22%
60%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2012 |
ESC
0 - 1
CAY
36%
26%
38%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |