EMD Santillana vs Sámano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.2%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
14.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EMD Santillana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
SEL
0 - 1
SAN
31%
24%
45%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
COM
0 - 1
SAN
29%
24%
47%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 0
AYR
69%
18%
13%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
GAM
2 - 1
SAN
38%
26%
36%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
COL
0 - 1
SAN
17%
23%
60%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sámano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
SAM
0 - 1
COL
59%
21%
20%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
SAM
3 - 1
DEV
68%
18%
14%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
REO
2 - 1
SAM
20%
23%
57%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
SAM
5 - 5
VEL
67%
19%
14%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
MER
1 - 1
SAM
40%
25%
35%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |