Copa Libertadores round 4

Santiago Wanderers vs U. Católica analysis

Santiago Wanderers U. Católica
70 ELO 77
0.9% Tilt -0.2%
1319º General ELO ranking 1003º
18º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
48.3%
Santiago Wanderers
21.5%
Draw
30.2%
U. Católica

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
Santiago Wanderers
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
30.2%
Win probability
U. Católica
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Santiago Wanderers
-2%
-6%
U. Católica

ELO progression

Santiago Wanderers
U. Católica
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Santiago Wanderers
Santiago Wanderers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Mar. 1969
AUR
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
3 - 1
Santiago Wanderers
SWA
56%
20%
24%
72 72 0 0
01 Mar. 1969
SPC
Sporting Cristal
2 - 1
Santiago Wanderers
SWA
65%
18%
18%
72 77 5 0
26 Feb. 1969
UCO
U. Católica
1 - 3
Santiago Wanderers
SWA
63%
18%
19%
71 77 6 +1

Matches

U. Católica
U. Católica
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Mar. 1969
SPC
Sporting Cristal
2 - 0
U. Católica
UCO
56%
20%
24%
77 78 1 0
01 Mar. 1969
AUR
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
2 - 4
U. Católica
UCO
51%
21%
28%
76 73 3 +1
26 Feb. 1969
UCO
U. Católica
1 - 3
Santiago Wanderers
SWA
63%
18%
19%
77 71 6 -1
31 Mar. 1968
UCO
U. Católica
0 - 1
Palmeiras
PAL
62%
19%
19%
78 81 3 -1
21 Mar. 1968
PAL
Palmeiras
4 - 1
U. Católica
UCO
64%
20%
17%
78 81 3 0