Santhià vs Folgore Caratese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
12.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santhià
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 0
CAR
62%
21%
17%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
GER
2 - 2
SAN
66%
20%
14%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 1
CHI
71%
17%
13%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
LEC
3 - 0
SAN
87%
10%
4%
|
35 | 69 | 34 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 1
VIR
56%
22%
22%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
FOL
0 - 2
CHI
48%
24%
28%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
APD
2 - 2
FOL
18%
24%
58%
|
31 | 13 | 18 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
FOL
0 - 0
GER
20%
24%
56%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
FOL
2 - 0
ASD
28%
25%
48%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +4 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
VER
4 - 3
FOL
48%
25%
27%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |