Santarcangelo vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
41.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santarcangelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
TRI
1 - 1
SAN
52%
25%
23%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 2
TER
30%
27%
44%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
FCS
5 - 0
SAN
43%
27%
30%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
SSS
3 - 1
SAN
66%
21%
13%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 1
REG
34%
27%
39%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
MOD
1 - 1
PIS
53%
25%
22%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
PON
4 - 0
MOD
38%
27%
36%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2017 |
MOD
1 - 0
MEZ
74%
19%
8%
|
54 | 31 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
ASG
3 - 2
MOD
37%
28%
35%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
MOD
2 - 0
MAN
61%
24%
15%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |