Santana vs Caniçal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.1%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
70.5%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
13%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.7%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
PON
4 - 0
SAN
82%
13%
6%
|
12 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 2
POR
53%
23%
25%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
CAL
1 - 0
SAN
72%
17%
11%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
AND
51%
23%
26%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
BAR
2 - 1
SAN
31%
24%
45%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Caniçal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
CAN
2 - 0
CAM
74%
16%
10%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
1MA
0 - 5
CAN
19%
22%
59%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
PON
0 - 1
CAN
48%
23%
29%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
CAN
3 - 0
POR
82%
13%
6%
|
30 | 14 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
CAL
0 - 2
CAN
27%
23%
49%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | +1 |