Amapaense Championship Eliminatorias. Final
Global 1-4
Santana vs Ypiranga AP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.1%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
51.3%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2020 |
SEC
1 - 0
SAN
22%
20%
58%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
SAN
2 - 2
SEC
69%
17%
14%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2020 |
SEC
4 - 0
ECM
33%
22%
45%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 2020 |
SPM
1 - 1
SEC
60%
19%
21%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
TDC
1 - 0
SEC
56%
22%
23%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Ypiranga AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
SPM
1 - 2
YAP
32%
23%
44%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2020 |
YAP
1 - 1
SPM
49%
25%
27%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
YAP
0 - 1
BAR
56%
22%
22%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2020 |
TDC
2 - 4
YAP
33%
25%
42%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
BAR
3 - 0
YAP
23%
21%
55%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | -2 |