Santana vs São Paulo AP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
45.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2016 |
TDC
6 - 0
SEC
60%
22%
18%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
SEC
0 - 0
ECM
24%
22%
54%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 0
SEC
72%
17%
12%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2015 |
SAN
7 - 1
SEC
72%
17%
11%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
SEC
2 - 4
SPM
46%
24%
31%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
São Paulo AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2016 |
SPM
0 - 0
SAN
29%
24%
47%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2016 |
SPM
0 - 0
TDC
25%
22%
53%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2016 |
ECM
1 - 2
SPM
65%
19%
17%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2015 |
SPM
1 - 1
ECM
27%
23%
51%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
SEC
2 - 4
SPM
46%
24%
31%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |